Publications — disease dynamics

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  1. Nitschke, MC, AN Williams, SD Ingrey, B Griffiths, N Pitt, L Russell, S Ulm, K Beller, MI Bird, SH Fatima, IJ McNiven, F Saltré, A Bashford, C Wilson, CJA Bradshaw. 2026. Stochastic models indicate rapid smallpox spread and mass mortality of Indigenous Australians after colonial exposure. Nature Human Behaviour in press
  2. Strona, G, CJA Bradshaw, P Cardoso, NJ Gotelli, F Guillaume, F Manca, V Mustonen, L Zaman. 2023. Time-travelling pathogens and their risk to ecological communities. PLoS Computational Biology 19: e1011268. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011268
  3. Ripple, WJ, DA DellaSala, F Baumann, J Gregg, MG Betts, BE Law, CJA Bradshaw, C Wolf. 2022. Zoonotic diseases and our troubled relationship with nature. American Journal of Health Promotion 36: 382-385. doi:10.1177/08901171211064224 [PDF]
  4. Barnett, LK, TAA Prowse, DE Peacock, GJ Mutze, R Sinclair, J Kovaliski, B Cooke, CJA Bradshaw. 2018. Previous exposure to myxoma virus reduces survival of European rabbits during outbreaks of rabbit haemorrhagic disease. Journal of Applied Ecology 55: 2954-2962. doi:10.1111/1365-2664.13187 [PDF]
  5. Liu, X, S Lyu, D Sun, CJA Bradshaw, S Zhou. 2017. Species decline under nitrogen fertilization reduces community-level resistance to fungal diseases. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 284: 20162621 [PDF]
  6. Liu, X, S Lyu, S Zhou, CJA Bradshaw. 2016. Warming and fertilization alter the dilution effect of host diversity on disease severity. Ecology 97: 1680-1689. doi:10.1890/15-1784.1 [PDF]
  7. Prowse, TAA, CN Johnson, RC Lacy, CJA Bradshaw, JP Pollak, MJ Watts, BW Brook. 2013. No need for disease: testing extinction hypotheses for the thylacine using multi-species metamodels. Journal of Animal Ecology 82: 355-364. doi:10.1111/1365-2656.12029 [PDF]
  8. Bradshaw CJA, CR McMahon, PS Miller, RC Lacy, ML Verant, JP Pollak, DA Fordham, MJ Watts, TAA Prowse, BW Brook. 2012. Novel coupling of individual-based epidemiological and demographic models predict realistic dynamics of tuberculosis in alien buffalo. Journal of Applied Ecology 49: 268-277. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2664.2011.02081.x [PDF]
  9. Traill, LW, CJA Bradshaw, HE Field, BW Brook. 2009. Climate change enhances the potential impact of infectious disease and harvest on tropical waterfowl. Biotropica 41: 414-423 [PDF]
  10. Bradshaw, CJA, BW Brook. 2005. Disease and the devil: density-dependent epidemiological processes explain historical population fluctuations in the Tasmanian devil. Ecography 28: 181-190 [PDF]