Publications — climate change

  1. Ubalde, J, CJA Bradshaw, SH Fatima, PN Le Souëf, MA Judge. 2026. Systematic review of climate-change interventions for improving child health. BMJ Paediatrics Open in press
  2. Fatima, SH, CJA Bradshaw, ZA Bhutta, P Bi, JK Das, S Meherali, ZS Lassi. 2026. Disproportionate climate burden of rising temperatures on low birth weight in Pakistan. BMC Medicine 24: 128. doi:10.1186/s12916-026-04664-8
  3. Ubalde, J, CJA Bradshaw, PN Le Souëf, MA Judge. 2025. Climate change policies fail to protect child health. Globalization and Health 21: 47. doi:10.1186/s12992-025-01142-3
  4. Fatima, SH, MA Judge, PN Le Souëf, CJA Bradshaw. 2025. Impact of climate change on diarrhoea risk in low- and middle-income countries. Environmental Research 285: 122412. doi:10.1016/j.envres.2025.122412
  5. Bird, MI, M Brand, R Comley, X Hadeen, Z Jacobs, C Rowe, F Saltré, CM Wurster, C Zwart,
    CJA Bradshaw. 2025. A 150,000-year lacustrine record of the Indo-Australian monsoon from northern Australia. Quaternary Science Reviews 366: 109504. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2025.109504
  6. Mulà, C, CJA Bradshaw, M Cabeza, F Manca, S Montano, G Strona. 2025. Restoration cannot be scaled up globally to save reefs from loss and degradation. Nature Ecology and Evolution 9: 822-832. doi:10.1038/s41559-025-02667-x
  7. Champreux, A, F Saltré, W Traylor, T Hickler, CJA Bradshaw. 2024. How to map biomes: quantitative comparison and review of biome-mapping methods. Ecological Monographs 94: e1615. doi:10.1002/ecm.1615
  8. Saltré, F, J Chadœuf, T Higham, M Ochoki, S Block, E Bunney, B Llamas, CJA Bradshaw. 2024. Environmental conditions associated with initial northern expansion of anatomically modern humans. Nature Communications 15: 4364. doi:10.1038/s41467-024-48762-8
  9. Manca, F, L Benedetti-Cecchi, CJA Bradshaw, M Cabeza, C Gustafsson, A Norkko, T Roslin, DN Thomas, L White, G Strona. 2024. Projected loss of brown macroalgae and seagrasses with global environmental change. Nature Communications doi:10.1038/s41467-024-48273-6
  10. Weeda, LJZ, CJA Bradshaw, MA Judge, CM Saraswati, PN Le Souëf. 2024. How climate change degrades child health: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Science of the Total Environment 920: 170944. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170944
  11. Norman, K, CJA Bradshaw, F Saltré, C Clarkson, TJ Cohen, P Hiscock, T Jones, F Boesl. 2024. Sea level rise drowned a vast habitable area of north-western Australia driving long-term cultural change. Quaternary Science Reviews 324: 108418. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2023.108418
  12. Hamilton, R, N Amano, CJA Bradshaw, F Saltré, R Patalano, D Penny, J Stevenson, J Wolfhagen, P Roberts. 2024. Forest mosaics, not savanna corridors, dominated in Southeast Asia during the Last Glacial Maximum. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA 121: e2311280120. doi:10.1073/pnas.2311280120
  13. Strona, G, CJA Bradshaw, P Cardoso, NJ Gotelli, F Guillaume, F Manca, V Mustonen, L Zaman. 2023. Time-travelling pathogens and their risk to ecological communities. PLoS Computational Biology 19: e1011268. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011268
  14. Strona, G, CJA Bradshaw. 2022. Co-extinctions dominate future vertebrate losses from climate and land-use change. Science Advances doi:10.1126/sciadv.abn4345 (highlighted in Nature Climate Change and Current Biology)
  15. Le Souëf, PN, CM Saraswati, M Judge, CJA Bradshaw. 2021. Spatially explicit analyses of environmental and health data to determine past, emerging and future threats to child health. Journal of Paediatrics and Child Health 57: 1830-1834. doi:10.1111/jpc.15822 [PDF]
  16. Bradshaw, CJA, PR Ehrlich, A Beattie, G Ceballos, E Crist, J Diamond, R Dirzo, AH Ehrlich, J Harte, ME Harte, G Pyke, PH Raven, WJ Ripple, F Saltré, C Turnbull, M Wackernagel, DT Blumstein. 2021. Underestimating the challenges of avoiding a ghastly future. Frontiers in Conservation Science 1: 615419. doi:10.3389/fcosc.2020.615419 [PDF] (recommended in Faculty Opinions)
  17. Monaco, CJ, DJ Booth, WF Figueira, BM Gillanders, DS Schoeman, CJA Bradshaw, I Nagelkerken. 2021. Natural and anthropogenic climate variability shape assemblages of range-extending coral-reef fishes. Journal of Biogeography 48: 1063-1075. doi:10.1111/jbi.14058 [PDF]
  18. Monaco, CJ, I Nagelkerken, DJ Booth, WF Figueira, BM Gillanders, DS Schoeman, CJA Bradshaw. 2021. Opposing life stage-specific effects of ocean warming at source and sink populations of range-shifting coral-reef fishes. Journal of Animal Ecology 90: 615-627. doi:10.1111/1365-2656.13394 [PDF]
  19. Mathwin, R, S Wassens, J Young, Q Ye, CJA Bradshaw. 2021. Manipulating water for amphibian conservation. Conservation Biology 35: 24-34. doi:10.1111/cobi.13501 [PDF]
  20. Bradshaw, CJA. 2020. Grand challenges in global biodiversity threats. Frontiers in Conservation Science 1: 609007. doi:10.3389/fcosc.2020.609007 [PDF]
  21. Monaco, CJ, CJA Bradshaw, DJ Booth, BM Gillanders, DS Schoeman, I Nagelkerken. 2020. Dietary generalism accelerates arrival and persistence of coral-reef fishes in their novel ranges under climate change. Global Change Biology 26: 5564-5573. doi:10.1111/gcb.15221 [PDF]
  22. Thomas, ZA, RT Jones, CSM Turney, N Golledge, C Fogwill, CJA Bradshaw, L Menviel, NP McKay, MI Bird, J Palmer, P Kershaw, J Wilmshurst, R Muscheler. 2020. Tipping elements and amplified polar warming during the Last Interglacial. Quaternary Science Reviews 233: 106222. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2020.106222 [PDF]
  23. Saltré, F, J Chadoeuf, KJ Peters, MC McDowell, T Friedrich, A Timmermann, S Ulm, CJA Bradshaw. 2019. Climate-human interaction associated with southeast Australian megafauna-extinction patterns. Nature Communications 10: 5311. doi:10.1038/s41467-019-13277-0 [PDF] (highlighted in Nature Index)
  24. Shabani, F, M Ahmadi, KJ Peters, S Haberle, A Champreux, F Saltré, CJA Bradshaw. 2019. Climate-driven shifts in the distribution of koala browse species from the Last Interglacial to the near future. Ecography 42: 1587-1599. doi:10.1111/ecog.04530 [PDF]
  25. Bradshaw, CJA. 2019. Opportunities to improve the future of South Australia’s terrestrial biodiversity. Rethinking Ecology 4: 45-77. doi:10.3897/rethinkingecology.4.32570 [PDF]
  26. Herrando-Pérez, S, CJA Bradshaw, S Lewandowsky, DR Vieites. 2019. Statistical language backs conservatism in climate-change assessments. BioScience 69: 209-219. doi:10.1093/biosci/biz004 [PDF]
  27. Strona, G, CJA Bradshaw. 2018. Co-extinctions annihilate planetary life during extreme environmental change. Scientific Reports 8: 16724. doi:10.1038/s41598-018-35068-1 [PDF]
  28. Martínez, B, B Radford, MS Thomsen, SD Connell, F Carreño, CJA Bradshaw, DA Fordham, BD Russell, CFD Gurgel, T Wernberg. 2018. Distribution models predict large contractions in habitat-forming seaweeds in response to ocean warming. Diversity and Distributions 24: 1350-1366. doi:10.1111/ddi.12767 [PDF]
  29. Heard, BP, BW Brook, TML Wigley, CJA Bradshaw. 2017. Burden of proof: a comprehensive review of the feasibility of 100% renewable-electricity systems. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 76: 1122-1133. doi:10.1016/j.rser.2017.03.114 [PDF]
  30. Bradshaw, CJA, BW Brook. 2016. Implications of Australia’s population policy for future greenhouse-gas emissions targets. Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies 3: 249-265. doi:10.1002/app5.135 [PDF] [Supplementary]
  31. Liu, X, S Lyu, S Zhou, CJA Bradshaw. 2016. Warming and fertilization alter the dilution effect of host diversity on disease severity. Ecology 97: 1680-1689. doi:10.1890/15-1784.1 [PDF]
  32. Johnson, CN, …, CJA Bradshaw. 2016. What caused extinction of the Pleistocene megafauna of Sahul? Proceedings of the Royal Society B 283: 20152399. doi:10.1098/rspb.2015.2399 [PDF]
  33. Mellin, C, D Mouillot, M Kulbicki, TR McClanahan, L Vigliola, CJA Bradshaw, RE Brainard, P Chabanet, GJ Edgar, DA Fordham, AM Friedlander, V Parravicini, AMM Sequeira, RD Stuart-Smith, L Wantiez, MJ Caley. 2016. Humans and seasonal climate variability threaten large-bodied coral reef fish with small ranges. Nature Communications 7: 10491. doi:10.1038/ncomms10491 [PDF]
  34. Saltré, F, Rodríguez-Rey, M, …, CJA Bradshaw. 2016. Climate change not to blame for Late Quaternary megafauna extinctions in Australia. Nature Communications 7: 10511. doi:10.1038/ncomms10511 [PDF]
  35. Turney, CSM, Z Thomas, D Hutchinson, CJA Bradshaw, … 2015. Obliquity-driven expansion of North Atlantic sea ice during the last glacial. Geophysical Research Letters 42: 10382-10390. doi:10.1002/2015GL066344 [PDF]
  36. Cooper, A, CSM Turney, BW Brook, G McDonald, KA Hughen, CJA Bradshaw. 2015. Abrupt warmings drove Late Pleistocene Holarctic megafaunal turnover. Science 349: 602-606. doi:10.1126/science.aac4315 [PDF]
  37. Bradshaw, CJA, IG Warkentin. 2015. Global estimates of boreal forest carbon stocks and flux. Global and Planetary Change 128: 24-30. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.02.004 [PDF]
  38. Brook, BW, CJA Bradshaw. 2015. Key role for nuclear energy in global biodiversity conservation. Conservation Biology 29: 702-712. doi:10.1111/cobi.12433 [PDF]
  39. Heard, B, CJA Bradshaw, BW Brook. 2015. Beyond wind: furthering development of clean energy in South Australia. Transactions of the Royal Society of South Australia 139: 57-82 doi:10.1080/03721426.2015.1035217 [PDF]
  40. Hong, S, CJA Bradshaw, BW Brook. 2015. Global zero-carbon energy pathways using viable mixes of nuclear and renewables. Applied Energy 143: 451-459. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.01.006 [PDF]
  41. Hong, S, CJA Bradshaw, BW Brook. 2014. South Korean energy scenarios show how nuclear power can reduce future energy and environmental costs. Energy Policy 74: 569-578. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2014.05.054 [PDF]
  42. Hong, S, CJA Bradshaw, BW Brook. 2014. Nuclear power can reduce emissions and maintain a strong economy: rating Australia’s optimal future electricity-generation mix by technologies and policies. Applied Energy 136: 712-725. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.09.062 [PDF]
  43. Moen, J, L Rist, K Bishop, FS Chapin III, D Ellison, T Kuuluvainen, H Petersson, K Puetmann, J Rayner, IG Warkentin, CJA Bradshaw. 2014. Eye on the taiga: removing global policy impediments to safeguard the boreal forest. Conservation Letters 7: 408-418. doi:10.1111/conl.12098 [PDF]
  44. Herrando-Pérez, S, S Delean, BW Brook, P Cassey, CJA Bradshaw. 2014. Spatial climate patterns explain negligible variation in strength of compensatory density feedback in birds and mammals. PLoS One 9(3): e91536. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0091536 [PDF]
  45. Sequeira, AMM, C Mellin, DA Fordham, MG Meekan, CJA Bradshaw. 2014. Predicting current and future global distributions of whale sharks. Global Change Biology 20: 778-789. doi:10.1111/gcb.12343 [PDF]
  46. Fordham DA, C Mellin, BD Russell BD, HR Akçakaya, CJA Bradshaw, ME Aiello-Lammens, MJ Caley, SD Connell, S Mayfield, SA Shepherd, BW Brook. 2013. Population dynamics can be more important than physiological limits for determining range shifts under climate change. Global Change Biology 19: 3224-3237. doi:10.1111/gcb.12289 [PDF]
  47. Bradshaw, CJA, DMJS Bowman, NR Bond, BP Murphy, AD Moore, DA Fordham, R Thackway, MJ Lawes, H McCallum, SD Gregory, RC Dalal, MM Boer, AJJ Lynch, RA Bradstock, BW Brook, BK Henry, LP Hunt, DO Fisher, D Hunter, CN Johnson, DA Keith, EC Lefroy, TD Penman, WS Meyer, JR Thomson, CM Thornton, J VanDerWal, RJ Williams, L Keniger, A Specht. 2013. Brave new green world – consequences of a carbon economy for the conservation of Australian biodiversity. Biological Conservation 161: 71-90. doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2013.02.012 [PDF]
  48. Hong, S, CJA Bradshaw, BW Brook. 2013. Evaluating options for the sustainable energy mixes in South Korea using scenario analysis. Energy 52: 237-244. doi:10.1016/j.energy.2013.02.010 [PDF]
  49. Fordham, DA, BW Brook, MJ Caley, CJA Bradshaw, C Mellin. 2013. Conservation management and sustainable harvest quotas are sensitive to choice of climate modelling approach for two marine gastropods. Diversity and Distributions 19: 1299-1312. doi:10.1111/ddi.12092 [PDF]
  50. Hong, S, CJA Bradshaw, BW Brook. 2013. Evaluating options for the future energy mix of Japan after the Fukushima nuclear crisis. Energy Policy 56:418-424. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2013.01.002 [PDF]
  51. Hindell, MA, CJA Bradshaw, BW Brook, D Fordham, K Kerry, C Hull, CR McMahon. 2012. Long-term breeding phenology shift in royal penguins. Ecology and Evolution 2: 1563-1571. doi:10.1002/ece3.281 [PDF]
  52. van Oosterzee, P, J Blignaut, CJA Bradshaw. 2012. iREDD hedges against avoided deforestation’s unholy trinity of leakage, permanence and additionality. Conservation Letters 5: 266-273. doi:10.1111/j.1755-263X.2012.00237.x [PDF]
  53. Warkentin, IG, Bradshaw, CJA. 2012. A tropical perspective on conserving the boreal ‘lung of the planet’. Biological Conservation 151: 50-52. doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2011.10.025 [PDF]
  54. Brook, BW, CJA Bradshaw. 2012. Strange bedfellows? Techno-fixes to solve the big conservation issues in southern Asia. Biological Conservation 151: 7-10. doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2011.10.007 [PDF]
  55. Wernberg, T, BD Russell, MS Thomsen, CFD Gurgel, CJA Bradshaw, ES Poloczanska, SD Connell. 2011. Seaweed communities in retreat from ocean warming. Current Biology 21: 1828-1832. doi:10.1016/j.cub.2011.09.028 [PDF]
  56. Traill, LW, MLM Lim, NS Sodhi, CJA Bradshaw. 2010. Mechanisms driving change: altered species interactions and ecosystem functions from global warming. Journal of Animal Ecology 79: 937-947. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2656.2010.01695.x [PDF]
  57. Traill, LW, BW Brook, R Frankham, CJA Bradshaw. 2010. Pragmatic population viability targets in a rapidly changing world. Biological Conservation 143: 28-34 [PDF]
  58. Traill, LW, CJA Bradshaw, HE Field, BW Brook. 2009. Climate change enhances the potential impact of infectious disease and harvest on tropical waterfowl. Biotropica 41: 414-423 [PDF]
  59. Bradshaw, CJA, NS Sodhi, BW Brook. 2009. Tropical turmoil – a biodiversity tragedy in progress. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 7: 79-87 [PDF]
  60. Brook, BW, NS Sodhi, CJA Bradshaw. 2008. Synergies among extinction drivers under global change. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 23: 453-460 [PDF] (Web of Science Essential Science Indicators ‘Highly Cited Paper’)
  61. Sodhi, NS, D Bickford, AC Diesmos, TM Lee, LP Koh, BW Brook, CH Sekercioglu, CJA Bradshaw. 2008. Measuring the meltdown: drivers of global amphibian extinction and decline. PLoS One 3(2): e1636 [PDF]
  62. Bradshaw, CJA, IC Field, DMJS Bowman, C Haynes, BW Brook. 2007. Current and future threats from non-indigenous animal species in northern Australia: a spotlight on World Heritage Area Kakadu National Park. Wildlife Research 34(6): 419-436 [PDF]
  63. Evans, K, R Thresher, RM Warneke, CJA Bradshaw, M Pook, D Thiele, MA Hindell. 2005. Periodic variability in cetacean strandings – links to large-scale climate events. Biology Letters 1: 147-150 [PDF]